Jeff Mans and I were sitting around the metaphorical campfire, singing “Kumbaya” and talking about baseball, the future of the fantasy business and days of old. He reflected upon his Fantasy Alarm days and then, Eureka! Like a flash of lightning, the thought sprung from his mind… the MLB Weekly Preview. For those of you […]
Average Draft Position and Fantasy Points Per Game
We don’t draft as well as we think we do. As a group. I’m sure some of you are from Lake Wobegon and are above average drafters, but the rest of us aren’t that good. The next few charts show that. If we really knew what we were doing, this is the graph we’d get […]
MLB Weekly Preview: May 27 – June 2
Jeff Mans and I were sitting around the metaphorical campfire, singing “Kumbaya” and talking about baseball, the future of the fantasy business and days of old. He reflected upon his Fantasy Alarm days and then, Eureka! Like a flash of lightning, the thought sprung from his mind… the MLB Weekly Preview. For those of you […]
WR Targets and Fantasy Rank, Updated
In trying to predict future WR performance, I often estimate that “X” number of targets equates to “Y” level of WR fantasy. You might wonder where these estimates come from. They start with this graph: I plotted each WR’s targets against his seasonal rank in fantasy points per game among WRs, from 2002 to the […]
MLB Weekly Preview: May 20-26
Jeff Mans and I were sitting around the metaphorical campfire, singing “Kumbaya” and talking about baseball, the future of the fantasy business and days of old. He reflected upon his Fantasy Alarm days and then, Eureka! Like a flash of lightning, the thought sprung from his mind… the MLB Weekly Preview. For those of you […]
Best Ball ADP Values
Free agency has come and gone, and so has the Draft. Best Ball season is approaching full swing, and this early on is a great time of year to jump in with volume, as ADP hasn’t fully adjusted to the offseason moves. Here, I’m highlighting some best ball values as I currently see them in […]
Running Back Receiving Touchdowns
For many years, I have been confident that RBs who score multiple (more than two) receiving TDs in one season will score less of them in the next season. This has been one of the surest examples of regression to the mean in fantasy football. The reasons essentially were that few runners scored more than […]
Offensive Identities 2018, Part III: The Passing Game (continued)
So far, I’ve looked at the basics of offensive identity in 2018 (plays from scrimmage; how many fantasy points (FP) those plays generated; how many of those plays were “wasted” from a fantasy perspective; and the relationships between wins and plays and FP) and the running game (including the correlations between running plays and winning, […]
MLB Weekly Preview: May 13-19
Jeff Mans and I were sitting around the metaphorical campfire, singing “Kumbaya” and talking about baseball, the future of the fantasy business and days of old. He reflected upon his Fantasy Alarm days and then, Eureka! Like a flash of lightning, the thought sprung from his mind… the MLB Weekly Preview. For those of you […]
Best Ball Winners & Losers
If you were to ask anyone who plays in a league with me what my most prominent weakness would be, the answer would be a resounding, “WAIVERS!” I love drafting, but let’s be honest here; when you’re in the thick of the NFL season, managing high volumes of season-long leagues, dynasty leagues, DFS lineups, and maybe […]
