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Snap Counts From 2016-2018

July 8, 2019 by Armando

Happy Monday Fantasy Guru fam! Today we begin drafting for the Scott Fish Bowl league, which is awesome to be part of and for such a great cause. Needless to say, I started off the week the right way chatting on a podcast this morning with my dudes Russell Clay and Tyler Buecher. We discussed Scott Fish Bowl strategy, players we like, players we don’t like, amongst many other things. Without a doubt, it was a great start to my morning. Enough about that, let’s move onto what you are here for.

Last week I went over the Volume Report ,which was a detailed article pointing out the most targeted players, as well as running backs with the most carries. In that article, I also took a look at offensive players per game, both for rushing and passing, over the last five years. This information really gives you a good perspective as to the role a player has on their team.

This week, I took an in-depth look at snap counts from 2016-2018. Snap counts are important because it is a good way to gauge how often a player and his offense is actually on the field. While being on the field is not a clear path to fantasy production, it could increase a player’s chances for potential targets and/or touches. It is also important to know which teams are on the field the most because the more plays an offense gets, the greater the chances for the top players on this offense to produce. With that said, let’s jump right into it.

RUNNING BACKS

The chart below displays the top 30 running backs in snap counts in each season since 2016.

2018       2017       2016      
Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap
McCaffrey, Christian 965 91% 1060 Bell, Le’Veon 945 85% 1108 Johnson, David 964 84% 1151
Elliott, Ezekiel 893 83% 1079 Gurley, Todd 796 76% 1041 Murray, DeMarco 861 81% 1063
Barkley, Saquon 854 83% 1029 Hyde, Carlos 786 71% 1104 Bell, Le’Veon 781 72% 1083
Gurley, Todd 825 75% 1100 McCoy, LeSean 776 73% 1055 Gurley, Todd 741 73% 1005
Johnson, David 749 79% 942 McCaffrey, Christian 757 70% 1079 Elliott, Ezekiel 716 67% 1060
Conner, James 720 64% 1117 Miller, Lamar 757 68% 1102 Gordon, Melvin 661 62% 1069
Kamara, Alvin 657 62% 1050 Gordon, Melvin 750 70% 1064 Howard, Jordan 654 64% 1011
Howard, Jordan 624 58% 1075 Hunt, Kareem 670 65% 1033 Gore, Frank 650 59% 1097
Miller, Lamar 619 56% 1094 Murray, DeMarco 647 63% 1024 McCoy, LeSean 645 60% 1064
Barber, Peyton 616 55% 1116 Anderson, C.J. 617 55% 1125 Freeman, Devonta 605 58% 1040
White, James 602 54% 1120 Elliott, Ezekiel 591 55% 1068 Ajayi, Jay 582 61% 949
Lewis, Dion 599 61% 986 Howard, Jordan 578 58% 990 Yeldon, T.J. 576 52% 1112
Mixon, Joe 597 60% 998 Ingram, Mark 570 55% 1039 Miller, Lamar 573 54% 1060
Coleman, Tevin 581 55% 1060 Johnson, Duke 565 53% 1069 Crowell, Isaiah 568 55% 1030
Drake, Kenyan 545 59% 920 Fournette, Leonard 564 50% 1133 Stewart, Jonathan 566 51% 1109
Gordon, Melvin 525 52% 996 Gore, Frank 555 54% 1030 Hyde, Carlos 535 51% 1035
Williams, Jamaal 523 48% 1075 Freeman, Devonta 552 53% 1027 Blount, LeGarrette 530 47% 1122
Yeldon, T.J. 508 49% 1039 Crowell, Isaiah 536 50% 1069 Ingram, Mark 530 46% 1151
Hunt, Kareem 505 48% 1047 McKinnon, Jerick 528 47% 1118 Murray, Latavius 525 49% 1065
Hines, Nyheim 498 44% 1136 Ajayi, Jay 509 49% 1040 Powell, Bilal 514 53% 972
Cohen, Tarik 495 46% 1075 Bernard, Giovani 486 50% 971 McKinnon, Jerick 511 48% 1053
Cook, Dalvin 490 46% 1051 Drake, Kenyan 477 46% 1040 Sproles, Darren 511 45% 1133
McCoy, LeSean 489 46% 1059 Riddick, Theo 472 45% 1044 Booker, Devontae 497 46% 1079
Carson, Chris 485 45% 1068 Allen, Javorius 465 43% 1087 Thompson, Chris 489 46% 1063
Peterson, Adrian 481 47% 1020 Kamara, Alvin 464 44% 1039 Johnson, Duke 457 44% 1030
Blue, Alfred 461 42% 1094 Lynch, Marshawn 462 45% 1013 West, Terrance 443 39% 1134
Murray, Latavius 461 44% 1051 Williams, Jamaal 443 42% 1047 Jennings, Rashad 443 41% 1062
Johnson, Duke 459 42% 1092 Coleman, Tevin 425 41% 1027 Forte, Matt 434 44% 972
Lindsay, Phillip 453 42% 1074 Murray, Latavius 421 37% 1118 White, James 426 38% 1122
Mack, Marlon 444 39% 1136 Henry, Derrick 411 40% 1024 Riddick, Theo 423 41% 1037

 

To no surprise, running backs such as Ezekiel Elliott, Todd Gurley, Christian McCaffrey, Le’Veon Bell, and David Johnson are atop this list most seasons. These are every down backs that receive the majority of the work in their backfields. When you look at some of the top volume players, some of these backs will likely also be at the top of the list, but even these backs are never on the field for over 85 percent of the snaps in most cases. Of course, there are exceptions to the rule like we saw in McCaffrey last season. There are a couple of players on the list above that were surprising to see. Last year, Peyton Barber played in 616 of the Buccaneers offensive snaps, averaging 38.5 snaps per game on an offense that averaged 65.9 plays per game. Despite being top 10 in snaps among running backs, he played in just 55 percent of the Bucs snaps. He touched the ball 254 times, but was not that effective managing just 0.25 points per snap, which was 68th among running backs with at least 50 rush attempts. This is a prime example that being on the field does not necessarily equate to guaranteed efficient production. Another example of this is Kyle Juszczyk, who played in 662 snaps in 2018, averaging 41.4 snaps per game on an offense that averaged 62.7 snaps per game. This is well over half of the snaps, yet he managed just 0.11 fantasy points per snap. Granted, he is a full back and is utilized more as blocker than anything else, with occasional passes, but this is yet another example of how a player’s role is just as important as how much time he is on the field. Lamar Miller has been a top 10 back in snap counts each of the last three seasons, averaging 45.3 snaps per game in that timeframe. Aside from being a capable back, as far as rushing and pass catching are concerned, Miller is also a very solid pass blocker, which is likely why he is on the field as much as he is. He has not lived up to the hype since joining Houston, but remains a solid fantasy running back that is on the field often and receives plenty of opportunity.

WIDE RECEIVERS

The chart below displays the top 30 wide receivers in snap counts in each season since 2016.

 

2018       2017       2016      
Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap
Hopkins, DeAndre 1084 99% 1094 Fitzgerald, Larry 1074 95% 1124 Fitzgerald, Larry 1052 91% 1151
Woods, Robert 1041 94% 1100 Cooks, Brandin 1058 92% 1142 Robinson, Allen 1047 94% 1112
Thielen, Adam 1011 96% 1051 Thielen, Adam 1034 92% 1118 Hopkins, DeAndre 1026 97% 1060
Brown, Antonio 999 89% 1117 Hopkins, DeAndre 1027 93% 1102 Nelson, Jordy 1015 93% 1088
Cooks, Brandin 989 90% 1100 Jones, Marvin 1005 96% 1044 Shepard, Sterling 1005 94% 1062
Agholor, Nelson 985 90% 1092 Stills, Kenny 942 90% 1040 Beckham, Odell 1002 94% 1062
Smith-Schuster, JuJu 960 86% 1117 Landry, Jarvis 932 89% 1040 Brown, Antonio 975 90% 1083
Lockett, Tyler 960 90% 1068 Jeffery, Alshon 927 82% 1131 Inman, Dontrelle 960 90% 1069
Landry, Jarvis 958 87% 1092 Hilton, T.Y. 926 90% 1030 LaFell, Brandon 955 92% 1030
Adams, Davante 954 88% 1075 Allen, Keenan 897 84% 1064 Evans, Mike 950 83% 1139
Jones, Zay 941 89% 1059 Bryant, Dez 894 83% 1068 Hilton, T.Y. 947 86% 1097
Evans, Mike 940 84% 1116 Brown, Antonio 888 80% 1108 Cooper, Amari 942 88% 1065
Shepard, Sterling 937 91% 1029 Thomas, Demaryius 886 79% 1125 Adams, Davante 915 84% 1088
Thomas, Michael 928 88% 1050 Evans, Mike 884 81% 1094 Pryor, Terrelle 899 87% 1030
Hill, Tyreek 907 86% 1047 Kearse, Jermaine 880 84% 1039 Baldwin, Doug 897 84% 1059
Golladay, Kenny 904 84% 1076 LaFell, Brandon 863 89% 971 Landry, Jarvis 893 94% 949
Diggs, Stefon 874 83% 1051 Jones, Zay 859 81% 1055 Williams, Tyrell 893 83% 1069
Davis, Corey 873 88% 986 Green, A.J. 857 88% 971 Thomas, Demaryius 889 82% 1079
Fitzgerald, Larry 872 92% 942 Baldwin, Doug 855 80% 1068 Agholor, Nelson 883 78% 1133
Doctson, Josh 846 83% 1020 Funchess, Devin 853 79% 1079 Cooks, Brandin 880 76% 1151
Nelson, Jordy 845 81% 1045 Williams, Tyrell 852 80% 1064 Jones, Marvin 879 85% 1037
Cooper, Amari 838 80% 1045 Thomas, Michael 851 82% 1039 Edelman, Julian 877 78% 1122
Sanu, Mohamed 830 78% 1060 Brown, Jaron 850 75% 1124 Wallace, Mike 872 77% 1134
Gabriel, Taylor 830 77% 1075 Richardson, Paul 816 76% 1068 Sanders, Emmanuel 868 80% 1079
Jones, Julio 820 77% 1060 Agholor, Nelson 813 72% 1131 Tate, Golden 866 83% 1037
Snead, Willie 820 69% 1189 Anderson, Robby 812 78% 1039 Thomas, Michael 866 75% 1151
Sutton, Courtland 819 76% 1074 Nelson, Jordy 806 77% 1047 Matthews, Jordan 844 74% 1133
Moncrief, Donte 813 78% 1039 Tate, Golden 791 76% 1044 Marshall, Brandon 833 85% 972
Crabtree, Michael 805 67% 1189 Diggs, Stefon 781 70% 1118 Hogan, Chris 832 74% 1122
Westbrook, Dede 804 77% 1039 Hill, Tyreek 779 75% 1033 Boldin, Anquan 830 80% 1037

 

Some familiar faces sit at the top of the chart above. DeAndre Hopkins has been top three in snaps at his position each of the last three years, including two seasons where he led in this category. In fact, last year he was on the field for roughly 99 percent of the Texans offensive snaps. This has to be a big reason why he has been top 11 in targets among receivers in each of the last three years, including two top five finishes. Not to mention, 12th or better in receptions in that time span as well. Sterling Shepard kind of stands out to me on this list. He entered the league in 2016 and in both seasons he played 16 games, he managed to play in a large percentage of the Giants’ snaps (91 percent of the snaps in 2018 and 94 percent in 2016). This year he will likely be on the field as much as he can handle and will probably be the primary receiver on this offense now that Odell Beckham Jr. is not on the team. Shepard has averaged 0.19 fantasy points per snap since entering the league. Despite playing 16 games last season, Larry Fitzgerald saw a significant drop in snap counts with 872. I wouldn’t be alarmed however, since the Cardinals offense averaged 56.4 snaps per game, which was 10 fewer snaps per game than 2017 and 11 fewer than 2016. Fitzgerald still played in roughly 92 percent of the team’s offensive snaps and remains a player that will be on the field so long as he is healthy, creating opportunities for potential touches. He averaged 0.20 fantasy points per snap. Zay Jones has consistently been on the field for the Bills since joining the league in 2017, being on the field over 80 percent of the snaps each season. That has not necessarily translated into elite fantasy production however, as he has averaged just 0.13 fantasy points per snap over that span. Still, these type of players are worth noting because they are on the field a decent amount of their team’s plays.

TIGHT ENDS

The chart below displays the top 15 tight ends in snap counts in each season since 2016.

2018       2017       2016      
Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap
Ertz, Zach 1000 91% 1092 Witten, Jason 1050 98% 1068 Olsen, Greg 1033 93% 1109
Kelce, Travis 994 95% 1047 Rudolph, Kyle 924 82% 1118 Witten, Jason 1018 96% 1060
Kittle, George 928 88% 1056 Doyle, Jack 909 88% 1030 Rudolph, Kyle 970 92% 1053
Rudolph, Kyle 925 88% 1051 James, Jesse 907 82% 1108 Barnidge, Gary 968 94% 1030
Njoku, David 873 80% 1092 Gronkowski, Rob 905 79% 1142 Clay, Charles 871 82% 1064
Burton, Trey 860 80% 1075 Lewis, Marcedes 895 79% 1133 Bennett, Martellus 870 77% 1122
Uzomah, C.J. 841 84% 998 Dickson, Ed 875 81% 1079 James, Jesse 855 79% 1083
Gronkowski, Rob 839 75% 1120 Kelce, Travis 875 84% 1033 Ertz, Zach 851 75% 1133
Hooper, Austin 809 76% 1060 Kroft, Tyler 829 85% 971 Gresham, Jermaine 835 72% 1151
Graham, Jimmy 795 74% 1075 Davis, Vernon 803 79% 1016 Kelce, Travis 833 87% 960
Higbee, Tyler 788 71% 1100 Cook, Jared 796 78% 1013 Kendricks, Lance 826 82% 1005
Cook, Jared 768 73% 1045 Hooper, Austin 787 76% 1027 Pitta, Dennis 810 71% 1134
Griffin, Ryan 743 68% 1094 Ertz, Zach 778 69% 1131 Graham, Jimmy 790 74% 1059
Green, Virgil 673 67% 996 Engram, Evan 777 71% 1085 Doyle, Jack 750 68% 1097
Hill, Josh 652 62% 1050 Gresham, Jermaine 750 66% 1124 Brate, Cameron 709 62% 1139

 

This is a position where paying close attention to snap counts and actual role is important. The reason for this is because not all tight ends are on the field to catch passes. Yes, most of the players at the top of this list are fantasy gold. Zach Ertz, Travis Kelce, and George Kittle all were incredible last season in every aspect. They were also the three tight ends that that were on the field for 88 percent or more of their team’s offensive snaps. With that said, there are other tight ends on the chart above that are on the field well over 50 percent of the time, but hold little to no fantasy value. For instance, Josh Hill was on the field in 62 percent of the Saints offensive plays, yet managed just 24 targets and 0.06 fantasy points per snap. His role as a pass catcher is minimal, so even though he is on the field a significant amount of the snaps, he is not helping out your fantasy team. The same can be said about Tyler Higbee who was on the field for 71 percent of the Rams offensive plays. Much like Hill, Higbee’s presence on the field did not automatically turn into fantasy points. On the contrary, he more than doubled his teammate Gerald Everett in plays, but Everett had more targets, more catches, more receiving yards, and more fantasy points than Higbee. These are things that we have to keep an eye on as fantasy owners so that we can make the best possible choice when projecting and selecting our players.

QUARTERBACKS

The chart below displays the top 15 quarterbacks in snap counts in each season since 2016.

2018       2017       2016      
Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap Player Player Snaps Team Snap % Team Total Snap
Wilson, Russell 1130 106% 1068 Brady, Tom 1118 98% 1142 Brees, Drew 1151 100% 1151
Luck, Andrew 1118 98% 1136 Bortles, Blake 1110 98% 1133 Wentz, Carson 1127 99% 1133
Watson, Deshaun 1093 100% 1094 Newton, Cam 1063 98% 1079 Winston, Jameis 1123 98% 1139
Brady, Tom 1093 97% 1120 Wilson, Russell 1063 99% 1068 Flacco, Joe 1111 98% 1134
Roethlisberger, Ben 1087 97% 1117 Prescott, Dak 1053 98% 1068 Bortles, Blake 1111 100% 1112
Prescott, Dak 1073 99% 1079 Roethlisberger, Ben 1038 93% 1108 Rodgers, Aaron 1066 98% 1088
Keenum, Case 1073 100% 1074 Stafford, Matthew 1035 99% 1044 Rivers, Philip 1064 99% 1069
Goff, Jared 1064 96% 1100 Brees, Drew 1034 99% 1039 Cousins, Kirk 1063 100% 1063
Stafford, Matthew 1054 98% 1076 Rivers, Philip 1028 96% 1064 Manning, Eli 1061 100% 1062
Cousins, Kirk 1051 100% 1051 Flacco, Joe 1027 94% 1087 Palmer, Carson 1045 91% 1151
Ryan, Matt 1048 99% 1060 Ryan, Matt 1026 100% 1027 Stafford, Matthew 1037 100% 1037
Mahomes, Patrick 1034 99% 1047 Manning, Eli 1018 94% 1085 Dalton, Andy 1028 100% 1030
Carr, Derek 1033 99% 1045 Keenum, Case 1016 91% 1118 Newton, Cam 1023 92% 1109
Rodgers, Aaron 1013 94% 1075 Cousins, Kirk 1012 99% 1016 Ryan, Matt 1022 98% 1040
Manning, Eli 1011 98% 1029 Taylor, Tyrod 1001 95% 1055 Prescott, Dak 1013 95% 1060

 

This is the one position where pretty much all starters are on the field over 90 percent of the offensive snaps barring any injuries. Other times you can see a starting signal caller get yanked from a game is when a contest is out of reach and they pull starters out or if a starter has been struggling and could be getting benched. We also have the possibility where a younger quarterback is waiting on the bench and a team decides it’s time to give the young quarterback his opportunity in the league, as they move on from the veteran. We saw this with Lamar Jackson and Joe Flacco last season in Baltimore. Being that this position is straight forward, I have decided to provide you with the top 10 quarterbacks in fantasy points per drop back from the 2018 season. Here they are: Lamar Jackson (0.83), Patrick Mahomes (0.67), Ryan Fitzpatrick (0.62), Drew Brees (0.61), Russell Wilson (0.61), Josh Allen (0.56), Cam Newton (0.55), Mitchell Trubisky (0.55), Deshaun Watson (0.55), and Matt Ryan (0.54).

TEAM OFFENSIVE PLAYS PER GAME

The chart below displays each team’s offensive plays per game since 2016.

Team 2018 2017 2016 3YR AVG
New England 69.1 67.5 67.7 68.1
Baltimore 70.2 65.9 67.4 67.8
Philadelphia 63.9 66.9 67.5 66.1
Tampa Bay 65.9 64.7 66.6 65.7
Houston 65.2 64.2 67 65.5
Pittsburgh 66.1 66.4 63.8 65.4
Jacksonville 62.8 66.8 65.8 65.1
New Orleans 63.6 62.4 69.1 65.0
Denver 63.4 67.2 63.8 64.8
Carolina 63.2 64.5 65.8 64.5
Indianapolis 66.1 62.1 64.8 64.3
Minnesota 62.7 66.3 62.9 64.0
Green Bay 64.1 62.4 64.5 63.7
San Francisco 62.7 66.1 62.2 63.7
Arizona 56.4 66.2 67.9 63.5
Buffalo 63 63.8 63.2 63.3
NY Giants 61.5 64.8 63.6 63.3
Dallas 63.6 62.8 63.2 63.2
LA Rams 66.5 62.6 60 63.0
Seattle 62.6 62.9 63.2 62.9
Cleveland 63.9 63 61.4 62.8
Oakland 62.2 59.5 65.7 62.5
Atlanta 63.1 61.9 62 62.3
LA Chargers 59.7 63.8 63.4 62.3
Detroit 63.7 61.2 60.6 61.8
NY Jets 60.7 61.5 62.7 61.6
Washington 60.4 61.4 63.1 61.6
Kansas City 62.3 61.1 61.1 61.5
Tennessee 58.8 61.1 63 61.0
Chicago 63.3 58.4 60.4 60.7
Cincinnati 58.6 57.9 65.6 60.7
Miami 54.9 62.2 57.4 58.2

 

The chart above is just to provide you with a little additional information as to how many snaps a player could potentially play in, considering how many offensive plays their team averages on a weekly basis. Obviously the more plays an offense runs, the higher the chances for those players that are on the field a larger percentage of the time, have at possible fantasy production.

Remember, being on the field does not always lead to guaranteed production or fantasy points and it’s not the end all be all in research by any means, but it does lead to potential opportunity and that could eventually translate into fantasy production. Using this sheet along with the volume report could be a good way to project a player’s role in an offense, as they will point out how often a player is on the field, as well as how often they are targeted and/or receive a hand off.

This information should also paint a picture as to what a player is actually doing when on the field. As I pointed out above, not always is a player that is on the field often being utilized as a pass catcher or ball carrier. There are many instances that players are used as blockers or decoys. Being able to distinguish what role a player has is really important in fantasy football.

As always, you can catch me on the Twitter machine @Armando_Marsal and/or in our chat room with any questions.

Filed Under: NFL, NFL Articles

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